Dietary Land Use


dietary-land-use-vs-gdp-per-capita

First published in September 2019.

The focus of this entry is land use for agriculture. But we are also studying other uses of land, including land required for human settlement.

Agriculture is a major use of land. Half of the world’s habitable land is used for agriculture. The extensive land use has a major impact on the earth’s environment as it reduces wilderness and threatens biodiversity.

Reducing the consumption of resource-intensive products and increasing the productivity of land makes it possible to produce food with much smaller inputs and reducing the impact on the environment.

Breakdown of global land use today

Half of the world’s habitable land is used for agriculture

For much of human history, most of the world’s land was wilderness: forests, grasslands and shrubbery dominated its landscapes. Over the last few centuries, this has changed dramatically: wild habitats have been squeezed out by turning it into agricultural land.

If we rewind 1000 years, it is estimated that only 4 million square kilometers – less than 4% of the world’s ice-free and non-barren land area was used for farming.

In the visualization we see the breakdown of global land area today. 10% of the world is covered by glaciers, and a further 19% is barren land – deserts, dry salt flats, beaches, sand dunes, and exposed rocks.1 This leaves what we call ‘habitable land’. Half of all habitable land is used for agriculture.2

This leaves only 37% for forests; 11% as shrubs and grasslands; 1% as freshwater coverage; and the remaining 1% – a much smaller share than many suspect – is built-up urban area which includes cities, towns, villages, roads and other human infrastructure.

There is also a highly unequal distribution of land use between livestock and crops for human consumption. If we combine pastures used for grazing with land used to grow crops for animal feed, livestock accounts for 77% of global farming land. While livestock takes up most of the world’s agricultural land it only produces 18% of the world’s calories and 37% of total protein.3

The expansion of agriculture has been one of humanity’s largest impacts on the environment. It has transformed habitats and is one of the greatest pressures for biodiversity: of the 28,000 species evaluated to be threatened with extinction on the IUCN Red List, agriculture is listed as a threat for 24,000 of them.4 But we also know that we can reduce these impacts – both through dietary changes, by substituting some meat with plant-based alternatives and through technology advances. Crop yields have increased significantly in recent decades, meaning we have spared a lot of land from agricultural production: globally, to produce the same amount of crops as in 1961, we need only 30% of the farmland.

With solutions from both consumers and producers, we have an important opportunity to restore some of this farmland back to forests and natural habitats.

Global land use graphic

How the world’s land is used: total area sizes by type of use & cover

Visualising land use areas on a global map is perhaps the most relatable way to understand the scale of different land uses across the world. In the visualization here we show the graphic displayed above – on the breakdown of global land use & cover – by scale on a global map.

Here, land use groupings are aggregated to show the total surface area allocated for each. Note that these are not used to represent the distribution of each: this figure does not mean the United States is wholly used for livestock, or that Europe comprises only of barren land. It is used to indicate the global areal extent of each land use only.

We see that:

  • global land allocated to livestock – either in the form of grazing land or cropland used for animal feed is equivalent to the area of the Americas (North, Central and South America combined);
  • cropland (minus land used for the production of animal feed) is equivalent to the area of East Asia-Pacific, extending as far south as Thailand;
  • forested area is equal to Africa (minus Libya), the Middle East and South Asia;
  • global freshwater (inland water bodies) approximates to the area of Mongolia
  • total build-up land (villages, towns, cities & infrastructure) would fit into an area the size of Libya;
  • shrub land is equivalent to an area the size of East Asia-Pacific, from Malaysia southwards;
  • barren land is equivalent to the size of Europe;
  • glaciers (permanent ice & snow) approximates to an area of Antarctica & Greenland combined.
World map by land use 01

How has global land use changed over the long-term?

The visualisation shows human land use over the long-term (since 10,000 BC), and details the change in total land used for cropland, grazing land and built-up/urban area in hectares. This can also be viewed by select countries and all regions using the “change country/region” option.

Land use over the long-term, World

Total land area used for cropland, grazing land and built-up areas (villages, cities, towns and human infrastructure).

05001000150020160 ha1 billion ha2 billion ha3 billion ha4 billion haBuilt-up AreaGrazingCropland

Source: History Database of the Global Environment (HYDE)

 

Agricultural land use over the long-run

Total agricultural land use

This visualisation shows total land used for agriculture (which is a combination of cropland and grazing land) over the long-term, measured in hectares. In the following sections you can find disaggregated data for cropland and grazing land change over time.

Agricultural area over the long-term

Total areal land use for agriculture, measured as the combination of land for arable farming (cropland) and grazing in
hectares.

1600165017001750180018501900195020160 ha1 billion ha2 billion ha3 billion ha4 billion haOceaniaAfricaIndiaChinaRest of Asia (excl.India & China)Middle EastBrazilLatin America andthe Caribbean(excl. Brazil)CanadaUnited StatesRussiaEurope (excl.Russia)

Source: History Database of the Global Environment (2017)

 

Cropland use

This visualisation shows total cropland (which does not include land for grazing) over the long-term, measured in hectares.

Cropland use over the long-term

Total cropland area, measured in hectares. Cropland refers to the area defined by the UN Food and Agricultural
Organization (FAO) as ‘arable land and permanent crops’.

1600165017001750180018501900195020160 ha200 million ha400 million ha600 million ha800 million ha1 billion ha1.2 billion ha1.4 billion haOceaniaAfricaIndiaChinaRest of Asia (excl.India & China)BrazilLatin America andthe Caribbean(excl. Brazil)CanadaUnited StatesMiddle EastRussiaEurope (excl.Russia)

Source: History Database of the Global Environment (2017)

 

Grazing land use

This visualisation shows total grazing land over the long-term, measured in hectares.

Grazing land use over the long-term

Total land used for grazing, measured in hectares.

1600165017001750180018501900195020160 ha500 million ha1 billion ha1.5 billion ha2 billion ha2.5 billion ha3 billion haOceaniaAfricaIndiaChinaRest of Asia (excl.India & China)Middle EastBrazilLatin America andthe Caribbean(excl. Brazil)CanadaUnited StatesRussiaEurope (excl.Russia)

Source: History Database of the Global Environment (2017)

 

How much land do countries use for agriculture?

We use roughly half of global habitable land for agriculture. But how much of total land area is utilised for agriculture across the world? In the map here we see the share of total (both habitable and non-habitable) land area used for agriculture.

There is large variability in the share of land a given country uses for agriculture. Allocation ranges from less than ten percent, particularly across countries in Sub-Saharan Africa and the Scandinavian region to close to 80 percent across most regions (including the UK, Uruguay, South Africa, Nigeria and Saudi Arabia). It’s important to note that this metric includes both land used for arable (cropland) production and pasture land for livestock grazing; this means that agriculture can consume a large share of land area, even in arid and semi-arid regions where extensive arable farming is not possible. We will explore this difference in cropland and pastureland in the following section.

If we view the map in “chart” mode, we see how the allocation of land to agriculture has changed over time across the global regions. The share of land used for agriculture has been slowly increasing across most of the world’s regions over the past few decades. However, land use across Europe and Central Asia- particularly within the European Union (EU) zone- and North America has been declining.

Share of land area used for agriculture, 2014

The share of land area used for agriculture, measured as a percentage of total land area. Agricultural land refers to the
share of land area that is arable, under permanent crops, and under permanent pastures.

No data0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%

 

Arable agriculture (cropland)

There are two main uses of agricultural land: arable farming (which is land dedicated to growing crops), and pastureland (which includes meadows and pastures used for livestock rearing). In the chart here we see a global map of land used for arable agriculture (as a share of total land area).

For most countries, as we will show in the section below, land use for livestock grazing is dominant relative to arable farming. For most countries, land dedicated to cropland is typically below 20 percent, with many countries dedicating less than 10 percent. There are some notable exceptions, however;  countries in South Asia and Europe allocate a large share of land area to arable farming. India, Bangladesh, Ukraine and Denmark all dedicated more than half of total land area to cropland in 2015.

Share of land area used for arable agriculture, 2015

The share of land area used for arable agriculture, measured as a percentage of total land area. Arable land includes
land defined by the FAO as land under temporary crops (double-cropped areas are counted once), temporary meadows
for mowing or for pasture, land under market or kitchen gardens, and land temporarily fallow.

No data0%5%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%75%80%

Source: World Bank

Pastureland (permanent meadows and pasture)

For most countries, the majority of agricultural land is used for livestock rearing in the form of pastureland. In the map here we see the share of permanent meadows and pasture as a percentage of total land area.

As a contrast to arable farming, land use for livestock in Europe and South Asia, in particular, is typically less than 20 percent. However, most continental regions have countries where pastureland reaches close to half of total land area. In some countries (particularly in Central Asia, including Mongolia, Kazakhstan, and Turkmenistan) this can reach up to 70 percent. Livestock farming can take place across a range of diverse climatic and environmental regions (for example, ranging from cattle rearing in temperate regions to sheep farming in hilly and semi-arid terrain); meaning that this type of agriculture is potentially less geographically-constrained than arable farming.

Share of land area used for permanent meadows and pastures, 2014

The share of land area used for permanent meadows and pastures, measured as the percentage of total land area,
1961-2014. Permanent meadows and pastures is defined by the FAO as: “the land used permanently (five years or
more) to grow herbaceous forage crops, either cultivated or growing wild (wild prairie or grazing land).”

No data0%5%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%>90%

Source: UN Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO)

 

Cropland use per person

Cropland per person over the long-term

The visualisation here shows the change in the average cropland use per person over the long-term (since 10,000 BC), measured in hectares per person.

Cropland per person over the long-term

Total cropland per capita, measured in hectares per person.

10000 BCE6000 BCE4000 BCE2000 BCE020160 hecatres0.5 hecatres1 hecatres1.5 hecatres2 hecatres2.5 hecatres3 hecatresCanadaUnited StatesBrazilLatin America and the Caribbean (excl.Brazil)Europe (excl. Russia)AfricaWorldIndiaChina

Source: Land Use Data – HYDE (2017)

 

Cropland use per person in the near-term

Global population has more than doubled over the last 50 years. To meet the demands of a rapidly growing population on a planet with finite land resources, reducing our per capita land footprint is essential.

In the chart here we have plotted trends of the average arable land use per person across the world’s regions. Overall we see that the arable land use per capita has declined across all regions since 1961. Per capita land use is highest in North America– more than double the land use of any other region. Land use in Asia– both in South and East Asia is lowest (5-6 times less than in North America). Rates of reduction in South Asia have been the most dramatic; per capita land use in 2014 was roughly one-third of its value in 1961.

Arable land use per person

Arable land is defined by the FAO as land under temporary crops, temporary meadows for mowing or for pasture, land
under market or kitchen gardens, and land temporarily fallow. It is measured in hectares per person.

19611970198019902000201020150 hectares0.2 hectares0.4 hectares0.6 hectares0.8 hectares1 hectaresNorth AmericaEurope & Central AsiaSub-Saharan AfricaWorldSouth AsiaEast Asia & Pacific

Source: World Bank

Agricultural land use per person

Agricultural land per person over the long-term

The visualisation shows the change in the average agricultural land use (which is the sum of cropland and grazing area) per person over the long-term (since 10,000 BC), measured in hectares per person.

Agricultural land use per person

This dataset is showing estimates of the total agricultural land area – which is the combination of cropland and grazing
land – per person.
It is measured in hectares per person.

Add region

10000 BCE8000 BCE6000 BCE4000 BCE2000 BCE020160 ha0.5 ha1 ha1.5 ha2 ha2.5 haWorld

Source: Land Use Data – HYDE (2017)

 

Agricultural land per person over the near-term

If we extend our land coverage above from arable land use to total agricultural land (which is the sum of arable, permanent crops and pastures and meadows), we still see overall declines in land per person but with different rates and patterns of reduction. Overall, we see that agricultural land per person is higher than that of arable land. At the global level, per capita agricultural land use is now less than half its value in 1961.

Africa in particular has seen dramatic reductions in agricultural land per person – now less than one-third of per capita land 50 years ago. The Americas (North and South) and Africa have notably higher per capita agricultural land use relative to Europe and Asia.

Agricultural area per capita

Agricultural land area per capita, measured in hectares per person. The UN Food and Agricultural Organization define
‘agricultural area’ as the sum of arable land, permanent crops, permanent meadows and pastures.

1961197019801990200020130 hectares0.5 hectares1 hectares1.5 hectares2 hectares2.5 hectares3 hectares3.5 hectaresSouth AmericaNorthern AmericaAfricaWorldEastern AsiaEuropean UnionSouthern Asia

Source: Agricultural area per capita – FAO (2017)

 

Land use by crop

In the chart here we see the global area of land use in agriculture by major crop types, from 1961 to 2014. Overall, we see that the majority of our arable land is used for cereal production; this has grown from around 650 to 720 million hectares (an area roughly twice the size of Germany) over this period. The total land area used for coarse grains has remained approximately constant over this 50 year period, and is the 2nd largest user of arable land.

The most dramatic increase in land allocation is in the production of oilcrops. Total land area used for oilcrop production has increased almost 3-fold since 1961– an area just short of the size of Mexico. All other crop types take up less than 100 million hectares of global area.

Global agricultural land use by major crop type

Global land area used for agricultural production, by major crop category, measured in hectares.

19611970198019902000201020140100 million200 million300 million400 million500 million600 million700 millionCerealsCoarse GrainOilcropsPulsesRoots and TubersVegetablesFruitTreenutsCitrus FruitJute

Source: Global agricultural land by crop – FAO (2017)

 

Land use by food type

The amount of land required to produce food has wide variations depending on the product–this is especially true when differentiating crops and animal products. In the chart here we have plotted the average land required (sometimes termed the “land footprint”) to produce one gram of protein across a range of food types.

At the bottom of the scale, we see that cereal crops typically have a small land impact per unit of protein (although such protein is often lacking in some essential amino acids). At the upper end of the spectrum we find meat products, with the land required for beef or mutton up to 100 times larger than cereals. However, it’s important to note the differences in land required across the meat products: poultry and pork have a land footprint 8-10 times lower than that of beef. This means individuals can make notable reductions in the environmental impact of their diets simply by substituting lower-impact meat products for beef or mutton.

Land use per gram of protein, by food type

Average land use area needed to produce one unit of protein by food type, measured in metres squared (m²) per gram
of protein over a crop’s annual cycle or the average animal’s lifetime. Average values are based on a meta-analysis of
studies across 742 agricultural systems and over 90 unique foods.

0 m²0.2 m²0.4 m²0.6 m²0.8 m²1 m²Beef/Mutton1.02 m²Pork0.13 m²Fresh Produce0.1 m²Poultry0.08 m²Eggs0.05 m²Dairy0.04 m²Wheat0.04 m²Rice0.02 m²Maize0.01 m²Pulses0.01 m²

Source: Environmental footprint by food type (protein) – Clark & Tilman (2017)

 

Peak farmland

Have we reached ‘peak farmland’?

Is the expansion of global agricultural land likely to continue in the coming decades? In the chart here we see the trends of global land under arable and permanent crops from 1961-2014, in addition to UN FAO projections of arable land use through to 2050. This projection is published in the FAO’s World agriculture towards 2030/2050 Report.5

The FAO predicts that global arable land use will continue to grow to 2050, however, this is likely that this rate of expansion (towards eventual decline) will be at a slower rate than over the past 50 years. Most of this growth is projected to result from developing countries, meanwhile arable land use in developed countries is likely to continue its decline.

FAO projections of arable land to 2050

Global land allocated to arable production or permanent crops from 1961-2014, with the UN Food and Agricultural
Organization’s (FAO) projections to 2050. Land area is measured in hectares.

1961198020002020204020500 ha200 million ha400 million ha600 million ha800 million ha1 billion ha1.2 billion ha1.4 billion ha1.6 billion haFAO arable land projections (FAO(2017))

Source: FAO 2030-50 Projections of Arable Land (FAO (2017))

 

This FAO projection of continued arable land expansion through to 2050 was disputed by Ausubel, Wernick & Waggoner in a widely-discussed paper in 2013 which predicted we had reached a global peak in farmland use in 2009.6

The authors, which only had land use data available to 2009 predicted we had reached ‘peak farmland’, with continued decline in arable land use of around 0.2 percent per year from 2010-2060.

In the chart here we have plotted this ‘peak and decline’ projection but have extended actual land use trends through to the year 2014. As we see, over the period 2009-2014, arable land use has continued to increase, diverging from Ausubel’s earlier projection. Whilst premature, the authors’ model for estimating arable land requirements provides a useful explanation of the variables which will determine at what date we reach this peak. We discuss these determinants, and where Ausubel’s predictions diverge from actual trends here.

Peaking farmland: global arable and permanent crop area and Ausubel (2013)
projections of peak farmland

Global area used for arable and permanent crops from 1961-2014 based on UN Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) data,
measured in hectares. Ausubel et al. (2013) projected peak farmland in 2009, with a 0.2 percent reduction in farmland area per year
to 2060; this projection is also shown.

1961198020002020204020600 ha200 million ha400 million ha600 million ha800 million ha1 billion ha1.2 billion ha1.4 billion haAusubel et al. (2013) Projection

Source: FAOstats (1961-2014); and Ausubel et al. (2013) projections (2010-2060)

 

When will we reach peak agricultural land?

The projections of farmland above are limited in scope to land used for crop production (i.e. arable land plus land under permanent crop production). These estimates do not include land used for grazing and livestock production.

The chart here maps a range of published estimates of total agricultural area over time (which is the sum of arable land and permanent crops, plus permanent meadows and pastures for grazing). You can note that the areal extent of our agricultural land is significantly larger than that of the farmland analysed above (about three times larger). These estimates come from a range of sources, including the UN FAO, OECD and Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MEA). Also shown is the actual agricultural areal extent from 1980 onwards, as reported by the UN Food and Agricultural Organization.

Some projections vary significantly – for example, the MEA scenario 1 suggests that the world will not peak in agricultural land prior to 2050. However, most projections suggest a peaking of land expansion in the timespan between 2020 and 2040. Our measured agricultural area appears to be most closely aligned to the FAO/IMAGE projection, which is characterised by a very slow increase in areal extent over the coming decades before peaking around 2040.

Projections for global peak agricultural land

Projected trends in global agricultural area extent by various sources, measured in hectares. Projections include those
from the UN Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO), International Assessment of Agricultural Knowledge, Science
and Technology for Development (IAASTD); OECD, and scenarios from the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MEA).
Also shown is the actual agricultural area to 2014, as reported by the UN FAO.

198019902000201020202030204020500 ha1 billion ha2 billion ha3 billion ha4 billion ha5 billion haMEA Scenario 1MEA Scenario 3IAASTDOECD OutlookMEA Scenario 4MEA Scenario 2FAO/IMAGE

Source: Projections of peak agricultural land – FAO (2006), OECD (2012), MEA (2005)

 

What determines the amount of arable land we use?

The quantity of land required for arable agriculture is determined by a range of factors relating to population, dietary consumption, and food system dynamics/productivity. As we discussed earlier in the entry, Ausubel, Wernick & Waggoner (2013) applied a simplified model of these variables to predict when the world would reach ‘peak farmland’.7

Ausubel defines it as the IMPACT model, where land use is determined by five key variables:

  1. P = Population (number of people to feed)
  2. A = Affluence (in GDP per capita)
  3. C1 = Consumption 1 (in kcal/GDP), where kcal refers to the annual national or global food supply in kilocalories from both vegetal and animal sources. C1 provides a measure of how much our kilocalorie (i.e. food) intake increases (or decreases) as we get richer or poorer.
  4. C2 = Consumption 2 (in Crop Production Index [PIN]/kcal) using the FAO Crop Production Index, which measures the relative level of aggregate volume of agricultural crop production indexed to a base year. C2 tracks the ratio of crop production for food, feed, fuel, fiber, and tobacco to the supply of food calories. This means it provides a measure of how much food is produced relative to how much food is eaten (i.e. the efficiency of the system in delivering food from the field to peoples’ plates). If we reallocate more food towards feed and fuel, for example, we would have to continue increasing agricultural output to ensure food supplies remain adequate.
  5. T = Technology (in hectares/Crop PIN) tracks how much land farmers use relative to total crop value. This is a measure of agricultural yield/productivity.

We are therefore left with the equation, where:

Im (arable land in hectares) = P * A * C1 * C* T

Or the rate of change in arable land is equal to the sum of the rates of change in these variables (in percent per year):

im = p + a + c1 + c2 + t

How did Ausubel’s predictions differ from reality?

In order to assess why Ausubel et al. (2013) predicted we would reach ‘peak farmland’ prematurely, we assessed how their predicted values for each of the variables differed from actual values over the period 2009-2014. It should be noted that the authors derived their rate of decline (at 0.2 percent per year) based on an average prediction over the period 2010-2060; therefore a divergence from this value over the first 5-year period does not necessarily confirm these averaged predictions to be false.

In the table we provide a comparison of the values used in Ausubel’s projection, and our own analysis of changes in these variables from 2009-2014 (measured in percent change per year). Whilst Ausubel predicted a 0.2 percent decline in arable land area per year, our analysis suggests a 0.37 percent increase per year over this 5-year period. This correlates very closely to the actual land in land use; FAO figures suggest this also grew at 0.37 percent per year.

 

Variable Ausubel prediction (2010-2060) OWID analysis (2009-2014) Actual change in land (2009-2014)
Population (p) 0.90% 1.2%
Affluence (GDP per capita) 1.80% 1.8%
Food supply/GDP (kcal/GDP) -1.60% -1.4%
Crop PIN/kcal 0.40% 0.50%
Technology (yield) -1.70% -1.8%
Total change in arable land (per year) -0.20% 0.37% 0.37%

Arable land needed per unit of crop production

This visualization shows the index of the arable land area needed to produce an equivalent aggregate of crop production, relative to the land area needed in 1961 i.e. values in 1961 are equal to 1.0. For example, globally in 2014, the index value was 0.3; this means only 30% of the arable land area was needed to produce the same quantity of crops relative to 1961. 70% less land was needed.

This data can be viewed for other countries and regions by selecting ‘add country’ on the chart.

The crop production index (PIN) is the sum of crop commodities produced (after deductions of quantities used as seed and feed). It is weighted by the commodity prices. The FAO explains the construction of the PIN in detail here.

The idea for this chart is taken from Ausubel, Wernick, and Waggoner (2013).8

The authors write: ‘A combination of agricultural technologies raised yields, keeping downward pressure on the extent of cropland, sparing land for nature.
Countering the global rise of population and affluence by parents and workers, consumers and farmers restrained the expansion of arable land by changing tastes and lifting yields. The noticeable shrinkage in the extent of cropland as a function of the Crop Production index since 1990 provides encouragement that farmers will continue sparing land.’

Arable land needed to produce a fixed quantity of crops (1961 = 1)

Arable land needed to produce a fixed quantity of crops is calculated as arable land divided by the crop production index
(PIN). The crop production index (PIN) here is the sum of crop commodities (minus crops used for animal feed),
weighted by commodity prices. This is measured as an index relative to 1961 (where 1961 = 1).

 

196119701980199020002010201400.20.40.60.81World

Source: UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)

Definitions

Land use categories

The following discussions on global land use (particularly in relation to agriculture) cover a number of definitions and combined categories. It is therefore useful to understand the differences between land use terminology; for example, the definition of “arable land” versus “agricultural land”.

To provide some clarity on the definitions used here (and the common terminology within the literature) we have visualised these land use categories and groupings in the chart shown here. Also shown are the definitions of each. The groupings and definitions shown below are based on the UN Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) and should therefore be consistent with most international data sources.

Land use classification

Definitions of agricultural land use

The Land Area of the World is 13,003 million ha. 4,889 million ha are classified as ‘agricultural area’ by the FAO (this is 37.6% of the Land Area).

The agricultural area use is divided into 3 categories: arable land (28% of the global agricultural area), permanent crops (3%) and permanent meadows and pastures (69%) which account for the largest share of the world’s agricultural area.9

What do these words mean?

The agricultural area is the sum of arable land, permanent crops, permanent meadows and pastures.

The FAO definition for arable land is land under temporary agricultural crops (multiple-cropped areas are counted only once), temporary meadows for mowing or pasture, land under market and kitchen gardens and land temporarily fallow (less than five years). The abandoned land resulting from shifting cultivation is not included in this category. Data for “Arable land” are not meant to indicate the amount of land that is potentially cultivable.’10

The same source defines permanent crops as follows: ‘Permanent crops are divided into temporary and permanent crops. Permanent crops are sown or planted once, and then occupy the land for some years and need not be replanted after each annual harvest, such as cocoa, coffee and rubber. This category includes flowering shrubs, fruit trees, nut trees and vines, but excludes trees grown for wood or timber. And again from the same source the definition for permanent meadows and pastures is ‘land used permanently (five years or more) to grow herbaceous forage crops, either cultivated or growing wild (wild prairie or grazing land).’

The FAO definition for fallow land is ‘the cultivated land that is not seeded for one or more growing seasons. The maximum idle period is usually less than five years.’

Data Sources

FAO Statistical Database (FAOstat)
  • Data: Many indicators relating to food production, yields and land use – the full list is here.
  • Geographical coverage: Global – by country and world region.
  • Time span: Since 1961.
  • Available at: Available for download here.

References

  1. ‘Barren land’ refers to land cover in which less than one-third of the area has vegetation or other cover; barren land typically has thin soil, sand or rocks and includes deserts, dry salt flats, beaches, sand dunes, and exposed rocks.
  2. This data is sourced from the UN Food and Agriculture Organization. Other studies confirm this distribution of global land: in an analysis of how humans have transformed global land use in recent centuries, Ellis et al. (2010) found that by 2000, 55% of Earth’s ice-free (not simply habitable) land had been converted into cropland, pasture, and urban areas. This left only 45% as ‘natural’ or ‘semi-natural’ land.

    Ellis, E. C., Klein Goldewijk, K., Siebert, S., Lightman, D., & Ramankutty, N. (2010). Anthropogenic transformation of the biomes, 1700 to 2000Global Ecology and Biogeography19(5), 589-606.

    The major uncertainties – and explanation for discrepancies – in these assessments is the allocation of ‘rangelands’: in some regions it can be difficult to accurately quantify how much of rangelands are used for grazing, and how much is free from human pressure. Despite this uncertainty, most analyses tend to converge on an estimate of close to half of habitable land being used for agriculture.

  3. Poore, J., & Nemecek, T. (2018). Reducing food’s environmental impacts through producers and consumersScience, 360(6392), 987-992.

    The UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) provide global statistics on crop and food production, supply chains, and food available for human consumption.

    In 2013, the global average per capita energy availability from vegetal products was 2370 kilocalories per person per day, and 514kcal from animal products. Animal products therefore accounted for [514 / (514 + 2370) * 100] = 18% of the world’s calories.

    The global average per capita protein availability from vegetal products was 49 grams per person per day, and 32g from animal products. Animal products therefore accounted for [32 / (32 + 49) * 100] = 39% of the world’s protein.

    The figures given here are slightly lower for protein production (37% of the world total) because seafood from wild capture fisheries are not included (as they are not grown on terrestrial land).

  4. The number of species evaluated and threatened with extinction on the IUCN Red List is available from their summary statistics found here. In 2019, 28,338 were listed as threatened with extinction. Species can be filtered by threat categories in the IUCN’s search function here. In 2019, 24,001 species were threatened by ‘agriculture and aquaculture’. Note that species can have multiple threats; this therefore does not mean agriculture was the only threat for such species.
  5. Alexandratos, N. and J. Bruinsma. 2012. World agriculture towards 2030/2050: the 2012 revision. ESA Working paper No. 12-03. Rome, FAO. Available online.
  6. Jesse H. Ausubel, Iddo K. Wernick, Paul E. Waggoner (2013) – Peak Farmland and the Prospect for Land Sparing. Population and Development Review, Volume 38, Issue Supplement s1, pages 221–242, February 2013. DOI: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2013.00561.x. Available online.
  7. Although proven to be premature in their projection, the model remains useful in estimating future demands for arable land.[ref]Jesse H. Ausubel, Iddo K. Wernick, Paul E. Waggoner (2013) – Peak Farmland and the Prospect for Land Sparing. Population and Development Review, Volume 38, Issue Supplement s1, pages 221–242, February 2013. DOI: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2013.00561.x. Available online.
  8. Jesse H. Ausubel, Iddo K. Wernick, Paul E. Waggoner (2013) – Peak Farmland and the Prospect for Land Sparing. Population and Development Review, Volume 38, Issue Supplement s1, pages 221–242, February 2013. DOI: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2013.00561.x. Online here.
  9. These numbers are taken from FAO (2013) – Statistical Yearbook. Table 4. Online here.

    For comparison: The area of the USA, Canada and China are all short of 1,000 million ha (USA 963 million ha, China 932 million ha, Canada 909 million ha).

  10. This is the definition given by the UN’s Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) in their glossary that is online here.

https://ourworldindata.org/land-use

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